Economic Analyses and Commentary

4th Quarter Economic Review: Stay on Target & Beware of the Biases

Stay on Target - Beware of the Biases (To download a printable pdf of this white paper, click HERE). You remember the climax of the first Star Wars movie...   Luke Skywalker is in his X Fighter, zooming on to a runway with the target that, if hit, will destroy...

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An Update From the Watch Tower: Five “Wolves” in the Woods

To be a great investor you must think in terms of probabilities. Do not attempt to predict the future. Pundits predict, and when they fail, they say, “Well, that is because XYZ happened and who could have predicted XYZ?”  The problem is that their punditry costs you...

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