Download Our Latest Whitepaper HERE “No man ever steps in the same river twice. For it’s not the same river and he’s not the same man.” - Heraclitus Think of a river downstream from a dam release; when the water is released the river is filled with water and strong...
Economic Analyses and Commentary
4th Quarter Economic Review: Stay on Target & Beware of the Biases
Stay on Target - Beware of the Biases (To download a printable pdf of this white paper, click HERE). You remember the climax of the first Star Wars movie... Luke Skywalker is in his X Fighter, zooming on to a runway with the target that, if hit, will destroy...
Disco Inferno: Inflation Hot!
Disco Inferno - Inflation Hot! Are We Going Back to the 70's? (To download a printable pdf of this white paper, click HERE). Back in the 70's The last time the USA had crippling inflation was in the late 1970s when Managing Partner and Co-Chief Investment Officer,...
Are We There Yet?
The Look of Recovery in a Post-Pandemic World (To download a printable pdf of this white paper, click HERE). Many of us have experienced it. You are driving to Florida and the kids can’t wait to see the Magic Kingdom. They have been marking the days on their...
FourThought’s Fourcast Q1 2021
https://vimeo.com/511274618 Enjoy our short video with highlights of our economic analysis and commentary for the first quarter of 2021. For in-depth information download our free WHITEPAPER HERE.
Changes We’re Making in This New Season
(To download a printable pdf of this paper please click here.) To say a lot has changed in the last three months is an understatement. In our last white paper, “Don’t Sound the Alarm Until You See the Whites of their Eyes,” we drew the analogy of “wolves” out in the...
Dancing with TINA
Investment Options That Can Provide Diversification and Yield in a Low Interest Environment Have you met stock investors’ new girlfriend TINA? She is the belle of the ball—an alluring and popular guest. Who is she? Her name is an acronym for “There Is No...
An Update From the Watch Tower: Five “Wolves” in the Woods
To be a great investor you must think in terms of probabilities. Do not attempt to predict the future. Pundits predict, and when they fail, they say, “Well, that is because XYZ happened and who could have predicted XYZ?” The problem is that their punditry costs you...